Almost thousand years after it wiped out Pompeii, Mount Vesuvius could erupt again at any time and Italy must draw up a suitable disaster relief plan, a leading Japanese expert has warned.
By Tom Kington, Rome
4:18PM BST 06 Sep 2013
"Vesuvius will erupt – that is certain, because it is an active volcano, even if we cannot predict when," Nakada Setsuya told a volcano conference in Italy.
Professor Setsuya, of the University of Tokyo, said that due to the thousands of people living around the volcano, which is close to Naples, "Italy must discuss and prepare a plan to manage the situation."
Since it buried Pompeii in 79AD, Vesuvius has erupted another 30 times, most recently in 1944, when it killed 26 people. But some experts fear the volcano, which sits on a 154 square mile layer of magma, is due for another, cataclysmic eruption.
Italy's civil protection agency has drawn up an emergency plan, which envisages four levels of alarm being given, culminating in the evacuation, within 72 hours of 550,000 people living in 18 towns in a 200 square kilometre "red zone".
After the start of an eruption, residents of a larger "yellow zone" may be evacuated if ash fall and gasses released by the volcano create danger.
But the plan is based on an eruption equivalent to the one which occurred in 1631, not the more destructive 'Plinian' style event in 79AD, named after Pliny the Younger, who described the eruption.
The plan suggests the next eruption "will not be unexpected, but will be preceded by series of preliminary events which can be spotted some time earlier."
Italian Green Party official Francesco Emilio Borrelli warned the Italian civil protection plan might fall short.
"Put simply, we do not know which generation will pay the price," he said.
MY DREAM FROM JUNE 2010
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Dream of another volcano about to erupt Jun2/10
I was standing with my daughter on the edge of a huge Volcano. It was like a tourist stop and crowds were all around it. I suddenly felt it was about to blow even though it seemed somewhat dormant. I grabbed my daughter and began to run down the hill. We went into the town near by and it was extremely crowded. I heard someone behind me say "Vesuvius". I then awoke. God immediately spoke to me and said "I am doing a great shaking" When I looked up Vesuvius on Wikipedia this is what I found. Vesuvius has erupted many times since and is today regarded as one of the most dangerous volcanoes in the world because of the population of 3,000,000 people living nearby and its tendency towards explosive (Plinian) eruptions. It is the most densely populated volcanic region in the world.